Rating Rationale
September 14, 2022 | Mumbai
Lemon Tree Hotels Limited
Rating outlook revised to 'Stable'; Rating Reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities RatedRs.250 Crore
Long Term RatingCRISIL A-/Stable (Outlook revised from 'Negative'; Rating Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to Annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has revised its outlook on the long-term bank facilities of Lemon Tree Hotels Limited (LTHL, part of the Lemon Tree group) to ‘Stable’ from ‘Negative’ while reaffirming the rating at ‘CRISIL A-

 

The outlook revision reflects the recovery in business as reflected in operating performance regaining pre-pandemic levels, which is expected to sustain over the medium term. After the severely impacted fiscal 2021, performance in fiscal 2022 improved despite challenges faced during the two waves of the pandemic. The sequential recovery is strong over the last few quarters and fiscal 2023 started on a strong note with average room rent (ARR) surpassing the pre-pandemic levels and occupancies remaining adequate. Business risk profile is expected to improve further on account of strong recovery in domestic travel and increasing international travel. That said, any new variant emerging that imposes material constraints on travel and hence affects demand would remain a key monitorable.

 

Apart from a favourable industry outlook, LTHL is expected to benefit from a change in its strategy of ARR led growth to occupancy led growth, which would drive margin expansion as was witnessed during the first quarter of fiscal 2023. Further, structural cost rationalisation measures adopted during the pandemic are expected to sustain the earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margins above pre-pandemic levels.

 

Financial risk profile is expected to strengthen aided by the healthy operating performance. Interest coverage ratio is likely to be above 2 times in fiscal 2023 after being below unity in the past two fiscals. CRISIL Ratings expects gross debt to not cross fiscal 2022 levels despite the ongoing large project of MIAL, which is expected to be completed by December 2023. The company has focused on deleveraging and intends to become debt free within the next five years, which augurs well for the credit profile. 

 

The rating continues to reflect the established position of the Lemon Tree group in the hotel industry, its diversified revenue profile and healthy financial flexibility. These strengths are partially offset by debt-funded growth in the past, which has increased the financial leverage. Further, a substantial portion of the capital being tied-up in under-construction or newly constructed hotels is leading to below-average debt protection metrics and modest return on capital employed (RoCE).

Analytical Approach

CRISIL Ratings has combined the business and financial risk profiles of LTHL and its subsidiaries, collectively referred to as the Lemon Tree group, because of strong business and financial linkages. The subsidiaries construct or operate hotels under the Lemon Tree Premier, Lemon Tree, Red Fox, Keys and Aurika brands, and provide services to group companies.

 

Please refer Annexure - List of Entities Consolidated, which captures the list of entities considered and their analytical treatment of consolidation.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Established position and healthy revenue diversity: The Lemon Tree group is among the top three hotel chains (by number of rooms) in India. It is present across the upper-upscale, upscale, midscale and economy segments. The group has 84 hotels across 54 cities, of which, 33 are owned, 7 leased and 44 under management or franchisee contracts. This includes 7 owned and 6 managed keys hotels, which were added to the portfolio after the acquisition of Berggruen Hotels Pvt Ltd (BHPL) in fiscal 2020. Diversified service offering provides strength and stability to the business risk profile of the group by reducing the risks associated with a single price point and limited locations. As it expands, the group will continue to benefit from its brand recall.

 

 

Weaknesses:

 

  • Large, under-construction or newly constructed portfolio, leading to low return on capital employed (RoCE): RoCE has been below 6% since 2009. As a substantial portion of capital is employed in under-construction or newly constructed projects, RoCE is expected to improve over the medium term as currently only two hotels at MIAL and Shimla is under construction and more hotels are in stabilised phase. Further, expansion through leased and managed properties rather than owned properties should lead to improved RoCE.

Liquidity: Adequate

Expected yearly net cash accrual of around Rs 200 crore should cover debt repayments of Rs 110-160 crore over the medium term. Liquidity is also supported by the group's available liquid balance in the form of cash, mutual funds and undrawn bank facilities. Further, the proven ability to raise equity and contract debt on attractive terms supports financial flexibility.

Outlook: Stable

CRISIL Ratings believes that the credit risk profile will remain stable over the near term, supported by healthy accruals due to rising ARRs and occupancy.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factors

  • Significant improvement in debt protection metrics with debt to Ebitda ratio below 4.5 times
  • Sustenance of improved operating performance driven by ARR and/or occupancy resulting in healthy operating margin

 

Downward factors

  • Weakening of operating performance due to lower-than-estimated ARR and/or occupancy resulting in significant compression in operating margin
  • Financial risk profile weakens with debt to Ebitda ratio sustaining at 6.0-6.5 times

About the Company

Founded by Mr Patanjali Keswani in September 2002, the Lemon Tree group has 84 hotels across 54 cities - 33 owned, 7 leased, and 44 under management or franchisee contracts. This includes 7 owned and 8 managed Keys Hotels, which were added to the portfolio after the acquisition of BHPL in fiscal 2020. The first hotel commenced operations in Gurugram in 2004. The group has seven brands: Aurika (upscale), Lemon Tree Premier & Keys Prima (upper-midscale), Lemon Tree Hotels & Keys Select (mid-scale), and Red Fox Hotels & Keys Lite (economy). It also has a management arm that leverages the all seven brand and provides managerial and operational services to hotel owners.

 

In 2012, APG invested in Fleur Hotels. As on March 31, 2022, APG owned 41.09% stake in Fleur Hotels and 15% in LTHL.

 

In 2019, LTHL completed its initial public offering for 24.9% stake. The promoter continues to own ~ 24% stake.

 

In fiscal 2020, the Lemon Tree group acquired BHPL, which owned and operated 21 hotels under the Keys Hotels brand across India.

 

For the three months ended June 30,2022, LTHL reported a net profit of Rs 14 crore on an operating income of Rs 192 crore against a loss of Rs 34 crore on operating income of Rs 42 crore, respectively, for the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.

Key Financial Indicators (Consolidated - CRISIL Ratings Adjusted)

As on/for the period ended March 31

 Unit

2022

2021

Revenue

Rs.Crore

402

252

Profit After Tax (PAT)

Rs.Crore

-137

-187

PAT Margin

%

-34.1

-73.9

Adjusted debt/Adjusted networth#

Times

1.65

1.52

Interest coverage

Times

0.76

0.4

    #Adjusted debt includes lease liability

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN Name of
instrument
Date of
allotment
Coupon
rate (%)
Maturity
date
Issue size
(Rs.Crore)
Complexity 
levels
Rating assigned
with outlook
NA Overdraft Facility NA NA NA 20 NA CRISIL A-/Stable
NA Term Loan NA NA Sep-30 210 NA CRISIL A-/Stable
NA Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility NA NA NA 20 NA CRISIL A-/Stable

Annexure - List of Entities Consolidated

Names of entities consolidated Extent of consolidation Rationale for consolidation
Fleur Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Canary Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Carnation Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Dandelion Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Lemon Tree Hotel Company Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Manakin Resorts Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Oriole Dr Fresh Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Sukhsagar Complexes Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
PSK Resorts & Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Red Fox Hotel Company Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Grey Fox Project Management Company Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Valerian Management Services Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Celsia Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Inovoa Hotels And Resorts Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Iora Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Ophrys Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Hyacinth Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Berggruen Hotels Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Poplar Homestead Holdings Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Madder Stays Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Jessamine Stays Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Bandhav Resorts Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Hamstede Living Pvt Ltd Full Strong managerial, operational and financial linkages
Mind Leaders Learning India Pvt Ltd Proportionate consolidation under the equity method Joint venture/associate
Pelican Facilities Management Pvt Ltd Proportionate consolidation under the equity method Joint venture/associate
Glendale Marketing Services Pvt Ltd Proportionate consolidation under the equity method Joint venture/associate
Mezereon Hotels LLP Full LLP
Krizm Hotels Private Limited Employee Welfare Trust Full Trust
Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2022 (History) 2021  2020  2019  Start of 2019
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund Based Facilities LT 250.0 CRISIL A-/Stable   -- 27-10-21 CRISIL A-/Negative 13-07-20 CRISIL A-/Negative 16-08-19 CRISIL A-/Stable CRISIL A-/Stable
      --   --   -- 26-03-20 CRISIL A-/Negative 09-07-19 CRISIL A-/Stable CRISIL A-/Stable
      --   --   --   -- 22-03-19 CRISIL A-/Stable --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of Bank Lenders & Facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Overdraft Facility 20 CRISIL A-/Stable
Proposed Long Term Bank Loan Facility 20 CRISIL A-/Stable
Term Loan 210 CRISIL A-/Stable
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation

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